Tampa Bay Lightning Offseason Moves: 2 Players to Keep, 2 to Let Go | NHL Free Agency Analysis (2026)

The Tampa Bay Lightning, a team that has weathered the storm of salary cap constraints, now faces a pivotal moment in their offseason strategy. With a projected salary cap increase to $104 million, the team must navigate the delicate balance between retaining key players and making room for new talent. In this analysis, we delve into the decisions surrounding two players who should be retained and two who should be let go, offering a fresh perspective on the Lightning's future.

Keeping Darren Raddysh: A Wise Investment

In my opinion, keeping Darren Raddysh is a no-brainer. At just $975,000, Raddysh provided a career-best performance this season, amassing 22 goals and 70 points. This is a steal in today's NHL, where players with similar production command much higher salaries. The fact that Raddysh is still in his prime, turning 31 in February, makes him an attractive long-term investment. While the Lightning should be cautious about overpaying, a reasonable contract extension would be wise. I propose a four-year deal with an average annual value (AAV) of $5 million, a fair compromise between the team's budget and Raddysh's market value. This move ensures the team retains a solid defensive option while keeping the salary cap in check.

Letting Oliver Bjorkstrand Go: A Costly Mistake

On the other hand, letting Oliver Bjorkstrand walk is a decision that raises questions. The acquisition of Bjorkstrand in March 2025 was seen as a strategic move to bolster the team's scoring depth. However, the results were underwhelming. Bjorkstrand's injury and subsequent lack of production in the 2025 Stanley Cup Playoffs highlight the risks of such moves. With a cap hit of $5.4 million and the loss of valuable draft picks, the Lightning should cut ties. The team's salary cap space is better utilized by investing in younger, more promising talent, ensuring a brighter future for the franchise.

Retaining Declan Carlile: A Smart Move

Declan Carlile, a solid defensive option, is another player the Lightning should consider re-signing. With the team's defensive depth tested this season, Carlile's low cap hit of $775,000 makes him an affordable and reliable asset. An ideal contract extension would be a two-year, two-way deal with an AAV of $900,000. This move provides the team with stability on the blue line without breaking the bank. While Carlile may not be a star, his role in the team's success cannot be understated, and his re-signing is a smart, cost-effective decision.

Moving On from Corey Perry: A Fresh Start

Corey Perry, a veteran presence, has had his moments with the Lightning. However, his absence in the playoffs and the team's desire to develop young talent make a departure the right choice. The Lightning should use Perry's cap hit to invest in their top prospects, who are on the cusp of NHL readiness. While Perry's reunion with the team was enjoyable, it's time to look forward. The team's recent reunions have had varying levels of success, and it's crucial to focus on the next generation of players who can keep the Stanley Cup window open.

In conclusion, the Tampa Bay Lightning's offseason decisions are crucial for their long-term success. By keeping Raddysh and Carlile, the team ensures a solid foundation while letting go of Bjorkstrand and Perry. This strategy allows the Lightning to navigate the salary cap increase wisely, investing in young talent and building a competitive roster for years to come. As the team prepares for the future, these decisions set the stage for a promising season ahead.

Tampa Bay Lightning Offseason Moves: 2 Players to Keep, 2 to Let Go | NHL Free Agency Analysis (2026)
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